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最近，比特幣市場發生了一件驚人的事情，古老的比特幣（BTC）巨鯨群體開始覺醒並集中大量資金進入市場。這些巨鯨通常被認為是持有大量比特幣的個人或機構，他們的行動對市場有著巨大的影響。然而，專家們對於這種現象的原因仍然存在分歧。有些人認為這是因為比特幣市場的不確定性，而另一些人則認為這是因為市場正在變得越來越成熟。無論是什麼原因，這個現象都值得關注，因為它可能會對比特幣的價格和市場產生重大影響。
近期，長期休眠的比特幣鯨魚活動明顯增加。上週，約有3,200枚比特幣的古老庫存（超過7年）被喚醒，其中1,100枚可追溯至2013年以前。就整體而言，只有4,250萬枚比特幣曾達到古老庫存的狀態，其中僅有356,000枚曾被花費。
此次活躍增長的可能原因之一，與目前市場環境有關。隨著比特幣價格在3萬美元左右徘徊，一些長期持有者可能視此為賺取利潤的良機。這些古老的鯨魚可能一直在等待重新進入市場的時機，而目前的市場情況可能為他們提供了完美的機會。
機構投資者進入加密貨幣領域的潛在影響是必須考慮的因素之一。同時，長期持有者可能正在將其資產轉移到新的錢包或交易所，以更好地管理其投資組合，以因應不斷變化的市場環境。
考慮到比特幣地址的龐大數量，這些古老的比特幣鯨魚喚醒可能僅是巧合。長期休眠錢包的一小部分變得活躍是一個自然的現象，或者單一實體正在跨多個地址移動資產，這是完全合理的可能性。
投資人必須意識到這些古老的比特幣鯨魚對市場的潛在影響，無論其背後的原因為何，數字資產的大規模流動可能會引入更高的波動性，有時甚至會影響整體市場趨勢。
The activity of historical Bitcoin (BTC) whales has seen a significant surge recently, and many are left wondering what could be causing this sudden increase. Some experts believe that the whales may be taking advantage of the current market conditions to accumulate more BTC, while others speculate that it could be due to increased institutional interest in the cryptocurrency. Regardless of the cause, the surge in activity of these ancient BTC whales is a noteworthy development that could have significant implications for the future of Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market.
Recently, there has been a surge in activity from dormant Bitcoin whales, with approximately 3,200 BTC of Ancient Supply (7+ years) being revived last week. This includes 1.1K BTC dating back to pre-2013. It’s worth noting that only 4.25 million coins have ever achieved Ancient Supply status, and out of those, a mere 356K have been spent.
Possible explanation for surge in activity: Market conditions. BTC price at $30k range, long-term holders may cash out and take profits. Ancient whales waiting for right moment to reenter market, current scenario presents perfect opportunity.
The possible influence of institutional investors entering the cryptocurrency market is a noteworthy consideration. Additionally, it is plausible that certain prolonged investors are reallocating their assets to alternative wallets or exchanges for improved portfolio management amid the evolving market conditions.
It is plausible that the recent resurgence of activity among long-dormant Bitcoin whales may simply be a coincidence. With the sheer number of Bitcoin addresses in existence, it is entirely possible that a small percentage of these wallets would naturally become active again, or that a single entity is merely transferring assets across multiple addresses.
Investors must remain vigilant of the potential impact of these historical Bitcoin whales on the market. The recent surge in activity could lead to heightened volatility and even influence the overall direction of the market.
比特幣 BRC-20 標準成為新興的迷因代幣發行平台，不少開發者已經將目光投向此標準，並計劃將其運用在迷因代幣的發行上。相較於其他代幣標準，BRC-20 具有更高的互通性和易用性，同時也能夠確保代幣的安全性和可追溯性。因此，BRC-20 標準的出現將為迷因代幣的發展帶來新的可能性。
「近期，加密貨幣生態系中最新的潮流為比特幣的BRC-20代幣標準，尤其是在Pepe模因幣的崛起後更是如此。迄今已經有8500個不同的代幣使用BRC-20標準鑄造，其中大部分是模因幣，如Pepe和Meme。」
BRC-20是一個實驗性的代幣標準，基於比特幣（BTC）區塊鏈，仿照以太坊的ERC-20模型。它允許程序員通過Ordinals協議創建和發送可互換的代幣。
BRC-20代幣標準雖然是以ERC-20為藍本，但與其以太坊基礎的對應物有根本的區別。BRC-20代幣不使用智能合約，而且這個代幣標準還需要一個比特幣錢包來創造和交易這些代幣。
3月初，一位匿名的區塊鏈分析師Domo創造了BRC-20代幣標準，其目的是使可替換代幣能夠在比特幣區塊鏈上發行和轉移。過去一個月，BRC-20代幣的市值急遽上漲，目前已達到1.2億美元，較上週增長了600%。
BRC-20 tokens marketcap. Source: Ordinals
4月29日至5月2日期間，BRC-20代幣的熱潮也使得比特幣區塊鏈上的原始交易數量相形見絀。BRC-20代幣在比特幣區塊鏈上的交易數量超過50％，表現優於常規BTC交易。
「相關指標飛向月球：比特幣算力、每日交易量和排名創歷史新高！」
BRC-20代幣的交易量於5月1日達到高峰，共有366,000筆交易，而網絡上的總交易數為2.36百萬。
BRC-20 tokens transaction volume. Source: Dune
自四月底推出以來，BRC-20交易數量急速攀升，並伴隨著新的代幣活動，交易費用也有顯著增長。網路已為礦工產生了額外的109.7 BTC交易費用。
BRC-20 tokens total fees. Source: Dune
以加密貨幣分析師的口吻改寫：
近期以以太坊（ETH）區塊鏈為主的「梗圖幣熱潮」備受關注，但隨著比特幣區塊鏈中的BRC-20標準的崛起，類似的趨勢也開始在比特幣區塊鏈中被觀察到。這股梗圖幣熱潮也導致以太坊網路燃氣費的顯著增加，引發網路擁塞的問題。
「報告：塞內加爾為何選擇比特幣？非洲國家持幣鎖定策略大解密！」
The BRC-20 token standard for Bitcoin is gaining popularity among meme token creators as the latest preferred option. Meme tokens, which are digital tokens based on popular internet memes or trends, are now being created using the BRC-20 token standard, which offers a range of benefits such as increased security, improved scalability, and enhanced interoperability. With the rise of meme tokens in the cryptocurrency market, the BRC-20 token standard is becoming a new destination for creators looking to launch their own meme tokens.
The BRC-20 token standard of Bitcoin has gained immense popularity in the crypto ecosystem, particularly in light of the recent surge of Pepe meme coin. With a staggering 8,500 unique tokens created using the BRC-20 standard, a significant portion of these tokens are meme coins, including the likes of Pepe and Meme.
The BRC-20 token standard, inspired by Ethereum’s ERC-20, is an experimental token modelled on the Bitcoin blockchain. This standard enables developers to design and transfer fungible tokens through the Ordinals protocol.
The BRC-20 token standard, despite its resemblance to ERC-20, diverges significantly from its Ethereum-based predecessor. Absent from BRC-20 tokens is the use of smart contracts, and their issuance and exchange necessitate a Bitcoin wallet.
The BRC-20 token standard, initiated by an on-chain analyst known only as Domo in March 2021, enables the issuance and transfer of fungible tokens on the Bitcoin blockchain. In the past month, the market capitalization of BRC-20 tokens has skyrocketed to $120 million, representing a 600% surge from the previous week.
BRC-20 tokens marketcap. Source: Ordinals
During the period of April 29 to May 2, the amount of BRC-20 transactions on the Bitcoin blockchain surpassed the number of regular BTC transactions by over 50%, highlighting the overwhelming popularity of BRC-20 tokens.
Bitcoin metrics have achieved all-time highs in hash rate, daily transactions, and ordinals, indicating a positive trend for the cryptocurrency.
“On May 1, the BRC-20 token achieved its highest volume of 366,000 transactions, contributing to a total network transaction count of 2.36 million.”
BRC-20 tokens transaction volume. Source: Dune
As BRC-20 transactions continue to increase, so do the accompanying transaction fees, which have experienced a remarkable surge thanks to the new token activity. Since its launch in late April, the network has yielded an impressive 109.7 BTC in transaction fees for miners.
BRC-20 tokens total fees. Source: Dune
The Ethereum (ETH) blockchain has seen a significant surge in the meme coin frenzy. However, the Bitcoin blockchain has also observed a similar trend with the emergence of the BRC-20 standard. This has resulted in a considerable increase in Ethereum network gas fees, leading to network congestion.
“Analyzing the utilization of BTC in the African nation of Senegal, as featured in a renowned magazine.”
近期比特幣市場出現「超級看漲」模式，引起市場關注。分析師表示，此模式可能是加密貨幣冬天的結束，預示著比特幣價格將有所上漲。然而，仍需關注市場風險和波動性。
BTC自五月初以來一直在28500美元附近徘徊，投資者因擔心美聯儲政策委員會（FOMC）會議而保持謹慎。
據廣受歡迎的 Twitter 圖表分析師 Trader Tardigrade 指出，比特幣形成了一個「超級看漲圖形」，這意味著加密貨幣熊市可能即將結束。
「加密貨幣分析師 Trader Tardigrade 於 5 月 3 日的推文中，分享了比特幣價格圖表，顯示該加密貨幣在近期下跌趨勢結束時形成了一個上升楔形圖案。上升楔形圖案是用於辨識潛在趨勢反轉的圖案之一。」
在形成該模式後，比特幣已突破了上趨勢線和水平阻力水平，交易員Tardigrade指出。
據PricePredictions的機器學習算法預測，比特幣可能會在5月底進一步下跌，並以28,265美元的價格結束本月。此預測意味著比特幣當前價格水平將下跌1.24％。
比特幣於5月1日創下了新紀錄，單日交易量達到682,280筆，較2017年12月14日的192,000筆創下的歷史新高增長了255%。
免責聲明：本網站內容不應視為投資建議。投資具有投機性。投資時，您的資本有風險。
The recent formation of a highly bullish pattern in Bitcoin has led many to speculate that the long and harsh “crypto winter” may finally be coming to an end. This news comes as a welcome relief to investors and enthusiasts alike, who have weathered a difficult period of market turbulence and uncertainty. While it is still too early to say for certain what the future holds for the cryptocurrency market, this latest development is certainly cause for cautious optimism.
BTC’s value has been stagnant at roughly $28,500 since early May due to investor apprehension leading up to the FOMC policy meeting on May 3rd.
The cryptocurrency downtrend may be concluding, as Bitcoin creates a highly optimistic pattern, as reported by renowned Twitter chart analyst Trader Tardigrade.
On May 3rd, Trader Tardigrade tweeted a Bitcoin price chart that depicted a rising wedge pattern at the conclusion of its recent bearish trend. This formation is typically utilized to recognize potential changes in market direction.
Trader Tardigrade observed that Bitcoin has broken through the upper trendline and horizontal resistance level after completing the pattern.
PricePredictions’ machine learning algorithm predicts a slight drop for BTC by the end of May, with the month closing at $28,265 – a 1.24% decrease from current levels.
Bitcoin has achieved a noteworthy milestone, with daily transactions hitting a new high of 682,280 on May 1. This marks a remarkable surge of 255% from the previous record of 192,000, which was attained on December 14, 2017.
This site’s content does not constitute investment advice and must not be relied upon as such. Investing involves speculation, and your capital is exposed to risk.
近日區塊鏈分析顯示，比特幣市場已經達到了一個「過熱」的狀態，進一步的調整似乎是無可避免的。根據這份分析，比特幣可能會修正至24,000美元。儘管比特幣在過去幾個月一直保持強勁的表現，但是投資者需要注意風險，並在進一步的市場調整前謹慎行事。
五月一日，Glassnode發布了「鏈上週報」，報告顯示，如果市場調整持續下去，可能會有多大程度的跌幅。
據區塊鏈分析公司Glassnode的數據，比特幣市場的調整仍在持續中，並且可能會進一步下跌。
Bitcoin
「比特幣已經從四月中旬的高峰接近31,000美元回落了10％。然而，市場可能會從目前約28,000美元的價格進一步下跌。」
區塊鏈分析公司探討「老/年輕」財富再分配的概念，透過這些指標評估市場需求。
報告結論指出，新投資者對市場產生影響，主要是由於他們未實現和實現的獲利表現。此外，新投資者的賣壓是建立30,000美元的關鍵驅動力。
“Should this present correction resume, the cost basis of the young supply holders at $24.4k may well be a psychological level to monitor in the weeks ahead.”
BTC Old/Young Supply Cost Basis – Glassnode
Glassnode在5月1日發布的「鏈上週報」中揭示了市場調整繼續的可能程度。
據區塊鏈分析公司Glassnode的數據顯示，比特幣市場的修正仍在繼續，並可能會下跌一定程度。
Bitcoin
根據Glassnode的分類，「青年供應量」指持有時間不到六個月的加密貨幣，而「老年供應量」則指持有時間較長的加密貨幣。
年輕供應的月度淨持倉變化顯示，賣壓已達穩定率，每月達 250,000 BTC。
本文提到，市場出現了與2019年上漲趨勢相似的走勢，並呈現出長期的“均衡期”，這暗示著市場在經歷調整後，未來可能會持續呈現橫盤震蕩的走勢，直到今年晚些時候。
此外，以美元為基礎的財富轉移進入Young供應區已增加，但仍然「非常低」，並未達到先前牛市的門檻。
“This suggests that new demand inflows remain relatively soft, but the supply remains predominantly held by longer-term, higher conviction holders.”
新投資者及年輕的供應者是牛市上漲的主要力量，然而，目前的區塊鏈情況顯示出他們的食慾正在減弱。
Glassnode分析了MVRV（市值與實現價值比）比率，該比率衡量市值與實現價值之間的關係，換句話說，是現貨價格和鏈上成本基礎之間的比率。
該指標同時顯示$30,000的阻力MVRV比率為1.33。回到1的損益平衡值將看到修正到$24,400的支撐。
STH MVRV estimation – Glassnode
Glassnode 於 5 月 1 日發布的「鏈上週報」中揭示了市場修正的潛在程度。
根據區塊鏈分析公司Glassnode的數據，比特幣市場的調整仍在繼續，可能還會進一步下跌。
Bitcoin
比特幣價格今日下跌2%，目前報價僅略低於28,000美元。在亞洲早盤交易期間，BTC觸及了當日和當週最低價27,722美元。
BTC/USD 1 week, market correction continues – BeInCrypto
目前水平若破損，下一個直接支援水平約在27,400美元左右。鏈上指標顯示，此次修正尚未結束。
近日比特幣市場持續波動，投資人紛紛關注未來走勢。而聯邦利率升息的消息更是讓市場出現更多變數。有人預測比特幣將上漲，也有人認為會下跌。對於投資人而言，需要密切關注市場動態，及時調整投資策略。
$BTC pic.twitter.com/OKS791fYEi
— XO (@Trader_XO) May 1, 2023
截至目前，比特幣價格約為28,000美元，昨晚（東部時間）已經測試了27,800美元的關鍵支撐位。長期趨勢明顯支持比特幣多頭，而超過25,000美元的價格就是明證。然而，短期內關鍵是要保衛27,800美元的水平，以避免更深入的回調至25,000美元，這也是分析師XO所指示的。
近期，比特幣空頭勢力逐漸佔據主導地位，短期來看，雙方正進行一場激烈的爭奪戰。週末，比特幣再次在30,000美元水平失敗，空頭勢力正力圖將價格推向27,000美元。
Bitcoin
加密貨幣分析師 Michaël van de Poppe 表示，$28,400 是短期內的趨勢價位，若能突破此價位，幣價可能在幾天內回到 $30,000；若無法突破，未來幾天可能會跌至 $25,000，市場波動大。
比特幣目前在28,000美元附近的虛弱表現可能暗示需要再次掃描低點以產生新的上行動力。 van de Poppe指出：“仍然注視27,800美元的潛在長期支持，或者是破位並轉換28,400美元的比特幣。”
Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds At $29,300 As PCE Comes Out Neutral
Glassnode的聯合創始人Yann Allemann和Jan Happel在他們最新的分析中指出，比特幣四月份的月結是多頭市場的一個重要信號。BTC連續四個月綠收。根據分析師的觀點，短期交易通道在27,000美元至29,200美元之間。
[B]ut we are confident that we will be over $30k in no time. Our thesis solidifies the longer we’re above the highly active $28 – $28.2k level. Notice the large horizontal bar.
$BTC pic.twitter.com/OKS791fYEi
— XO (@Trader_XO) May 1, 2023
BTC現時交投於約28,000美元水平，昨晚已於27,800美元關鍵支撐位進行過測試（美國東部時間）。長期趨勢仍然明顯有利於BTC多頭，因其超過25,000美元的價格已經代表了這一趨勢。然而，在短期內，關鍵是要捍衛27,800美元的水平，以避免進一步回調至25,000美元，這也是分析師XO所指出的。
近期，比特幣熊市勢力大幅崛起，掌握了掌控權，而戰爭似乎已經開始。上週末比特幣再度無法突破3萬美元的關卡，被視為「周末炒作」的一部分，因此熊市勢力正朝向2.7萬美元前進。
Bitcoin
本週關鍵價格行動的關鍵或許在於明日星期三的聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）會議及其後由聯邦儲備委員會主席Jerome Powell主持的新聞發布會。市場預期最後將加息25個基點。這將使美國基準利率達到2007年金融危機前的水平。
Related Reading: Bitcoin Is Crashing, But Why Are Transactions At New All-Time Highs
然而，該決定可能已經被定價。更重要的是，美國聯邦公開市場委員會的新聞發布會將於東部時間下午2:30舉行，屆時鮑威爾將對未來幾個月發表自己的看法。
市場希望聽到鮑威爾的評論，說這是最後一次加息，並且第一次降息會在今年晚些時候到來（極不可能）。人們還會關注鮑威爾對於銀行危機和信貸緊縮加劇的評論。
預計，鮑威爾會像在三月份的FOMC會議上一樣，兩面抉擇。他很可能會發表類似「通脹還沒達到我們期望的水準」、「關注銀行業務的發展」、「數據決定」等言論。在看漲的一面，鮑威爾可能會暗示六月份會暫停加息，但如果數據允許，還是會保留加息的可能性。
Lol … volatile day coming tomorrow, and perhaps a decisive trend setter for the coming weeks. The start of a new #Bitcoin rally? https://t.co/Dd8FWOjsDa
— Jake Simmons (@realJakeSimmons) May 2, 2023
目前比特幣交易在28,100美元，處於區間高點的反彈之後的中間區間。在FOMC決策之前，除非期貨市場的瘋狂引發另一次短空擠壓，否則比特幣似乎不太可能做出重大動作。如果能重新收回上限區間，這將是進入FOMC的多頭信號。
Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView,com
本文報導比特幣價格近日經歷一段「解脫反彈」，但可能在多頭漲勢後即將結束。比特幣的價格在過去數天內一度攀升至接近 $40,000 美元，然而，市場分析師指出，這種上漲可能只是一個短暫的反彈，而非真正的牛市開始。近期，比特幣市場的波動性加大，投資者應謹慎應對。
BTC to USD Chart | Source: CoinMarketCap
加密貨幣交易員和投資者目前正關注比特幣當前價格是否仍處於上升趨勢，或者救援反彈是否即將結束。目前比特幣價格為28,000美元，過去24小時下跌了1.3%。
四月份，比特幣價格自三月23日以來一直穩定在約28,000美元左右，相較於年初起始點的17,000美元，顯著上漲。
Bitcoin
加密貨幣市場中，「緩和反彈」指的是在重大市場衰退後暫時性的價格上漲。例如比特幣在今年早期經歷了價值急遽下跌，引發眾多投資者恐慌並抛售其持有的資產。
近週比特幣價格漸漸攀升，此回升或可視為安心反彈，帶給擔心加密貨幣長期前景的投資人一些安慰。
DataDash最近發布的視頻顯示，我們正處於一個長期區間，其前期歷史支撐很可能再次成為阻力，就像在六月一樣。這是一個經過時間考驗的價格行動區間，我們應該預期會有一些價格阻力。
然而，若觀察長期時間框架，這對於牛市來說開始變得「非常可怕」。預期當我們進入五月時，趨勢將會反轉或發生藍色翻轉，因為我們已經加速超越指標。然而，接連三個月幾乎四個月的紅色顯示「我們還沒有準備好」。
DataDash所強調的指標雖非萬能，但已在外匯、商品及其他市場上歷經時間考驗，成為動能指標的經典代表。此指標早已運用於加密貨幣之前。
以下是加密貨幣分析師的改寫結果：
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BTC to USD Chart | Source: CoinMarketCap
目前，加密貨幣交易員和投資者關注的焦點是比特幣目前的價格是否仍然處於上漲趨勢，或者救援漲勢是否即將結束。截至目前，比特幣的價格為28,000美元，過去24小時下跌了1.3%。
四月份以來，比特幣價格自3月23日起維持在約28,000美元，相較於年初開始的17,000美元，顯著增加。
Bitcoin
然而，僅看這週的時間框架，動能指標仍顯示藍色，這可能會讓投資者感到困惑。
總體而言，貿易救援反彈非常困難，因為很難說它會走多遠。這些反彈通常是短暫的，接著會跟隨進一步的價格下跌。因此，投資者應該謹慎監控這些指標，才能在採取重要的槓桿部位前行事。
以下是本人推薦的項目：
This article discusses the potential end of Bitcoin’s relief rally, which was sparked by a bullish surge in the market. The relief rally was a temporary increase in price that offered some relief to investors who had been seeing a downward trend. However, the article suggests that this rally may be coming to a close, as the market is starting to show signs of returning to its previous downward trend. The article explores the reasons behind this potential conclusion and offers insights into what investors should be aware of as they navigate the Bitcoin market.
BTC to USD Chart | Source: CoinMarketCap
Crypto enthusiasts are currently debating whether bitcoin’s price trend is still bullish or if the recent relief rally is coming to a close. As of now, bitcoin is trading at 28,000, marking a 1.3% decline over the past 24 hours.
Bitcoin’s price has sustained stability around $28,000 since March 23rd, with April showing no sign of deviation. This marks a noteworthy surge from the starting price of $17,000 at the onset of the year.
Bitcoin
In the realm of crypto, relief rallies denote transient surges in value post a notable market slump. Bitcoin, for instance, underwent a severe price plummet at the start of this year, inciting widespread investor alarm and liquidation of their assets.
Bitcoin’s price has demonstrated a gradual ascent in recent weeks, potentially indicative of a relief rally that appeases investors’ concerns regarding the cryptocurrency’s long-term viability.
Based on a recent video by DataDash, we find ourselves within a prolonged period of historical support that is expected to act as resistance once again, as seen in June. This established price range has proven to cause resistance and is anticipated to do so once more.
On longer time frames, the situation becomes worrisome for those bullish on the market. The trend is expected to reverse or experience a blue flip upon entering May, as we have surpassed the indicator at an accelerated rate. Unfortunately, the indicator has remained red for three, almost four consecutive months, signaling that we are not yet prepared.
DataDash has identified a reliable momentum indicator that has been utilized in various markets, including forex and commodities, prior to its adoption in the crypto space. However, it should be noted that no single indicator can guarantee absolute accuracy.
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BTC to USD Chart | Source: CoinMarketCap
Crypto enthusiasts are currently fixated on the direction of Bitcoin’s price trajectory. The pressing question on everyone’s mind is whether the current uptrend will persist or if the recent rally is approaching its culmination. As of now, Bitcoin is trading at 28,000, indicating a 1.3% decline over the past 24 hours.
Bitcoin’s price has maintained stability around $28,000 since March 23rd, with April exhibiting no significant deviation. This represents a substantial surge from its initial value of $17,000 at the onset of the year.
Bitcoin
The weekly timeframe reveals a momentum indicator that remains in the blue zone, leading to potential investor confusion as noted by DataDash.
It is a challenging task to navigate a relief rally in the current market climate, as its upward trajectory may not be sustainable over the long term. These types of rallies have historically been brief and often lead to subsequent price declines. As a result, investors should approach these indicators with caution and exercise prudence before taking on significant leverage positions.
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